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Complicating your exercise much more is the fact that people are likely to keep their vehicles longer these days than they used to. That is in large part as a result of high quality has gone up, decreasing the frequency wanted to purchase a new car. I think this has far more to do with the declining share of GDP devoted to auto purchases than any of the other components you talked about.
You may see the rise in imports from much less than 1% in the Nineteen Sixties to about 2% of US GDP in the mid 2000s (until the great recession hit). The opposite attention-grabbing factor is that consumption of autos (as a fraction of the economic system) started a critical decline in the early 2000s. That’s going to complicate the analysis which I will take up once more in the subsequent post.